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UNDEBA vs Willemstad Prediction & H2H Stats

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Sun, Feb 25, 2024
VS
01:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNDEBA host Willemstad in the Promé Divishon. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: UNDEBA at 1.41 goals for, 2.22 against; Willemstad at 1.73 for, 1.2 against. Head-to-head, UNDEBA have won 1 to Willemstad's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.25) back Willemstad to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UNDEBA
15%
Draws
39%
Willemstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNDEBA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Willemstad come out ahead of UNDEBA on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Promé Divishon form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
UNDEBA Clean Sheet 19%
Willemstad Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNDEBA Willemstad
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.41 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Willemstad
0:0
Nov 11, 2023 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs UNDEBA
4:0
Aug 21, 2022 Promé Divishon
UNDEBA vs Willemstad
1:0
May 29, 2022 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs UNDEBA
4:2
Oct 9, 2021 Promé Divishon
Willemstad vs UNDEBA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNDEBA 32 / 100
Willemstad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNDEBA Willemstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Willemstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Willemstad conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: UNDEBA scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

UNDEBA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNDEBA VS Willemstad
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNDEBA

(Home)
17 Feb
Jong Colombia
3 : 0
UNDEBA
20 Jan
CSD Barber
3 : 4
UNDEBA
14 Jan
UNDEBA
4 : 2
Salina
16 Dec
Centro Dominguito
2 : 2
UNDEBA
10 Dec
UNDEBA
2 : 3
SUBT
Page 1 of 6

Willemstad

(Away)
28 Jul
Willemstad
1 : 2
Delfines Del Este
26 Jul
Willemstad
5 : 2
St. John's
18 Feb
Willemstad
2 : 1
CSD Barber
21 Jan
Jong Holland
1 : 0
Willemstad
14 Jan
Willemstad
0 : 1
Victory Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Colombia 14 9 2 3 38:16 29
2 Scherpenheuvel 15 7 7 1 22:12 28
3 Centro Dominguito 15 7 6 2 25:17 27
4 Willemstad 14 8 2 4 24:14 26
5 Jong Holland 14 7 2 5 33:16 23
6 Victory Boys 14 4 6 4 18:16 18
7 SUBT 14 5 1 8 20:29 16
8 UNDEBA 14 4 3 7 23:39 15
9 Salina 14 2 2 10 17:37 8
10 CSD Barber 14 2 1 11 15:39 7
Promotion - Promé Divishon (Winners stage)