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Undy vs Pure Swansea

Wales Wales

League Cup 2021/2022
Fri, Aug 6, 2021
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Hyden N.
90'
Clayton P.
90'
Clayton P.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup 2021/2022 game between Undy and Pure Swansea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Undy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Undy
6%
Draws
90%
Pure Swansea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pure Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pure Swansea come out ahead of Undy on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pure Swansea's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Pure Swansea
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.33 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.33 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2021 Cymru South
Undy vs Pure Swansea
3:1
Oct 30, 2021 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Undy
2:1
Aug 6, 2021 League Cup
Undy vs Pure Swansea
2:1
Jan 18, 2020 Cymru South
Undy vs Pure Swansea
0:2
Nov 9, 2019 FA Cup
Undy vs Pure Swansea
5:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Pure Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyden N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Pure Swansea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pure Swansea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Undy's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Pure Swansea has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Pure Swansea
0.33 Goals Scored 0.88
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Llanidloes Town2
Gresford3
Bangor City4
Holyhead0
Flint Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Bala-
Cambrian United4
Carmarthen Town1
TBD-
Newtown-
Ruthin Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Llandudno FC4
Denbigh3
TBD-
Connahs Q.-
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Guilsfield1
TBD-
Buckley-
Llangefni1
Prestatyn2
TBD-
Cefn Druids-
Conwy Borough-
TBD-
Holywell Town FC2
Colwyn Bay1
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
TBD-
Goytre Utd-
Undy-
TBD-
Port Talbot-
Pure Swansea-
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont-
Ammanford Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Barry Town-
TBD-
Llanelli5
Newport0
Trefelin2
Taffs Well0
Llantwit Major3
Risca United4
Llanrhaeadr1
Penrhyncoch4
TBD-
TNS-
Cwmbran Celtic3
Afan Lido0
Briton Ferry2
Pontypridd United3
1/16-finals
Gresford0
Bangor City1
Flint Town1
Bala2
Cambrian United2
Newtown4
Ruthin Town0
Caernarfon3
Llandudno FC0
Connahs Q.2
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Buckley2
Prestatyn3
Cefn Druids0
Conwy Borough1
Holywell Town FC3
Haverfordwest3
Goytre Utd0
Undy2
Pure Swansea1
Aberystwyth2
Penybont1
Ammanford Town0
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Barry Town5
Llanelli0
Trefelin2
Risca United0
Penrhyncoch2
TNS1
Cwmbran Celtic1
Pontypridd United2
1/8-finals
Bangor City0
Bala1
Newtown5
Caernarfon0
Connahs Q.6
Airbus UK Broughton FC3
Prestatyn3
Holywell Town FC4
Haverfordwest5
Undy0
Aberystwyth2
Cardiff Metropolitan University5
Barry Town3
Trefelin0
Penrhyncoch1
Pontypridd United3
Quarter-finals
Bala3
Newtown1
Connahs Q.4
Holywell Town FC0
Haverfordwest0
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Barry Town7
Pontypridd United1
Semi-finals
Bala1
Connahs Q.4
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Barry Town2
Final
Connahs Q.1
Cardiff Metropolitan University0