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Uni Souza vs AA Carapebus

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Douglas Cae

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Uni Souza and AA Carapebus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uni Souza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Uni Souza
6%
Draws
4%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uni Souza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uni Souza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Uni Souza a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Uni Souza Clean Sheet 68%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uni Souza AA Carapebus
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 Carioca B2
Uni Souza vs AA Carapebus
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uni Souza Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Cae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

AA Carapebus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uni Souza 95 / 100
AA Carapebus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uni Souza AA Carapebus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uni Souza found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

AA Carapebus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 24 matches.

Uni Souza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uni Souza VS AA Carapebus
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336