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Uni Souza vs Serra Macaense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
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Match Events

75' Event
Ruan E.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Uni Souza and Serra Macaense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra Macaense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uni Souza
30%
Draws
39%
Serra Macaense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Serra Macaense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serra Macaense come out ahead of Uni Souza on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uni Souza's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Uni Souza Clean Sheet 16%
Serra Macaense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uni Souza Serra Macaense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 Carioca B2
Uni Souza vs Serra Macaense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uni Souza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Serra Macaense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uni Souza 36 / 100
Serra Macaense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uni Souza Serra Macaense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uni Souza found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Serra Macaense let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Uni Souza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Uni Souza VS Serra Macaense
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uni Souza

(Home)
12 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Uni Souza
07 Jul
Uni Souza
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
03 Jul
Uni Souza
5 : 1
EC Vera Cruz
30 Jun
Campos AA
3 : 1
Uni Souza
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
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Serra Macaense

(Away)
01 Oct
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 3
Serra Macaense
27 Sept
Serra Macaense
2 : 1
FC Rio de Janeiro
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Serra Macaense
1 : 2
Paduano EC
07 Sept
7 de Abril
2 : 2
Serra Macaense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)