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Unia Janikowo vs Gwardia Koszalin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Radomski D.
35' Event
Konieczny A.
67' Event
Hulisz E.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Unia Janikowo and Gwardia Koszalin finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Janikowo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Unia Janikowo
15%
Draws
85%
Gwardia Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gwardia Koszalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gwardia Koszalin come out ahead of Unia Janikowo on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gwardia Koszalin taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Unia Janikowo Clean Sheet 10%
Gwardia Koszalin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Janikowo Gwardia Koszalin
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.77 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Gwardia Koszalin
5:2
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Unia Janikowo
2:2
May 23, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Unia Janikowo vs Gwardia Koszalin
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gwardia Koszalin vs Unia Janikowo
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Janikowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hulisz E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Radomski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Gwardia Koszalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bac C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Janikowo 10 / 100
Gwardia Koszalin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Janikowo Gwardia Koszalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwardia Koszalin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Gwardia Koszalin conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Gwardia Koszalin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Unia Janikowo's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Janikowo VS Gwardia Koszalin
0 Goals Scored 1.33
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 33%
100% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Janikowo

(Home)
17 Jun
Unia Solec Kujawski
3 : 0
Unia Janikowo
10 Jun
Unia Janikowo
0 : 3
Swit Szczecin
03 Jun
Stolem Gniewino
3 : 0
Unia Janikowo
27 May
Unia Janikowo
0 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
24 May
Ol. Grudziadz
3 : 0
Unia Janikowo
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Gwardia Koszalin

(Away)
08 Feb
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
0 : 1
Gwardia Koszalin
01 Feb
Gwardia Koszalin
3 : 0
Gryf Slupsk
26 Jun
Unia Janikowo
5 : 2
Gwardia Koszalin
19 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
1 : 0
Gwardia Koszalin
12 Jun
Gwardia Koszalin
2 : 6
Kleczew
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