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Unia Skierniewice vs Pilica Bialobrzegi

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unia Skierniewice play Pilica Bialobrzegi in the III Liga - Group I 2023/2024. Unia Skierniewice are favorites here. Recently, Unia Skierniewice averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Pilica Bialobrzegi averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Unia Skierniewice won 3, Pilica Bialobrzegi won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.94 for Unia Skierniewice and 1.50 for Pilica Bialobrzegi. This points to a Unia Skierniewice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Unia Skierniewice
18%
Draws
15%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Unia Skierniewice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice picked up more points recently compared to Pilica Bialobrzegi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.94 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 16%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Skierniewice Pilica Bialobrzegi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 2.43 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
5:0
Nov 4, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Unia Skierniewice
0:4
Jun 17, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Unia Skierniewice
2:2
Nov 19, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
4:1
May 7, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Unia Skierniewice
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartosinski J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sabillo K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Skierniewice 64 / 100
Pilica Bialobrzegi 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Skierniewice Pilica Bialobrzegi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Skierniewice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Unia Skierniewice & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unia Skierniewice attacking → ← attacking Pilica Bialobrzegi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Skierniewice scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Pilica Bialobrzegi let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Unia Skierniewice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pilica Bialobrzegi lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 17
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919