Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Skierniewice
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Wolinski E.
21'
Kwiecien B.
39' Event
Odolak K.

AI Match Summary

Stal Mielec in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stal Mielec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Unia Skierniewice
20%
Draws
10%
Stal Mielec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Unia Skierniewice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice have won more games recently than Stal Mielec.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Unia Skierniewice taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 13%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Skierniewice Stal Mielec
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Division 1
Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavrylenko O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Odolak K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Skierniewice 84 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Skierniewice Stal Mielec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Skierniewice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Skierniewice scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Stal Mielec has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Unia Skierniewice stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Skierniewice VS Stal Mielec
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Skierniewice

(Home)
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
28 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
23 Aug
Puszcza
0 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 6

Stal Mielec

(Away)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)