Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Skierniewice vs Stal Mielec

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Skierniewice
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Wolinski E.
21'
Kwiecien B.
39' Event
Odolak K.

AI Match Summary

Stal Mielec in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stal Mielec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Unia Skierniewice
6%
Draws
4%
Stal Mielec
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unia Skierniewice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice have won more games recently than Stal Mielec.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Unia Skierniewice taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 16%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Skierniewice Stal Mielec
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavrylenko O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Odolak K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Skierniewice 84 / 100
Stal Mielec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Skierniewice Stal Mielec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Skierniewice scored in 88% of their last 26 games.

Stal Mielec has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Unia Skierniewice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stal Mielec's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Unia Skierniewice VS Stal Mielec
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Skierniewice

(Home)
18 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
4 : 0
KKS Kalisz
18 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 0
Legia II
11 Jul
LKS Lodz
2 : 2
Unia Skierniewice
04 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3
Unia Skierniewice
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Stal Mielec

(Away)
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4
Avia Swidnik
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 4
Puszcza
04 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 0
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 5
Podhale Nowy Targ
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chrobry Glogow11005:13
2Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki11003:03
3Polonia Bytom11004:33
4Arka Gdynia11001:03
5LKS Lodz10101:11
6Pogon Siedlce10101:11
7Podbeskidzie00000:00
8Ruch Chorzow00000:00
9Polonia Warszawa00000:00
10Legnica00000:00
11Termalica Bruk-Bet00000:00
12Puszcza00000:00
13Unia Skierniewice00000:00
14Stal Mielec00000:00
15Warta Poznan10013:40
16Odra Opole10010:10
17Lechia Gdansk10010:30
18S. Rzeszow10011:50
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)