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Unia Swarzedz vs Gornik Konin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rajch M.
73'
Pigiel M.
85' Event
Jurkow P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Unia Swarzedz and Gornik Konin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Konin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Unia Swarzedz
6%
Draws
4%
Gornik Konin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 20%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Gornik Konin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gornik Konin
0:2
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gornik Konin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajch M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurkow P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 85 / 100
Gornik Konin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Gornik Konin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Konin has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Unia Swarzedz scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Unia Swarzedz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Gornik Konin
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 6
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
25 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
22 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
4 : 2
Pogon Mogilno
17 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 7
Kleczew
15 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 0
Lipno Steszew
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
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Gornik Konin

(Away)
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
26 Feb
Gornik Konin
1 : 5
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Jun
Gornik Konin
4 : 0
KS Mieszko Gniezno
16 Jun
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3 : 1
Gornik Konin
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
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