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Unia Swarzedz vs Gornik Konin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rajch M.
73'
Pigiel M.
85' Event
Jurkow P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Unia Swarzedz and Gornik Konin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Konin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Unia Swarzedz
11%
Draws
9%
Gornik Konin
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 20%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Gornik Konin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gornik Konin
0:2
Mar 20, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Gornik Konin
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajch M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurkow P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 76 / 100
Gornik Konin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Gornik Konin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Konin has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Unia Swarzedz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gornik Konin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Gornik Konin
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 6
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%