Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Swarzedz vs Lipno Steszew

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Matuszewski M.
53' Event
Gorczynski M.
86' Event
Deppe M.

AI Match Summary

Unia Swarzedz in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Unia Swarzedz
20%
Draws
29%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Lipno Steszew.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lipno Steszew here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 15%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Unia Swarzedz vs Lipno Steszew
3:0
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Unia Swarzedz
4:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Lipno Steszew
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Matuszewski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorczynski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Lipno Steszew Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 84 / 100
Lipno Steszew 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lipno Steszew conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Unia Swarzedz's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Unia Swarzedz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Lipno Steszew
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
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Lipno Steszew

(Away)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1
Lipno Steszew
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3
Swinoujscie
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