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Unia Swarzedz vs Sparta Brodnica

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Unia Swarzedz and Sparta Brodnica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Unia Swarzedz
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Brodnica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta Brodnica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Sparta Brodnica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Sparta Brodnica vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2
Nov 7, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Sparta Brodnica
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 85 / 100
Sparta Brodnica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Sparta Brodnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brodnica has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Unia Swarzedz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sparta Brodnica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Sparta Brodnica
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Warta Poznan30188457:2462
2Pelikan Niechanowo30195660:2862
3Lech Poznan II30179469:2360
4Kleczew30158763:3053
5Jarocin30149747:2751
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol30156945:2851
7Wda Swiecie30147937:3749
8KKS Kalisz301361141:4145
9Elana Torun301351251:4144
10Unia Swarzedz301081239:5538
11Start Warlubie30981340:4535
12Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski30941739:6731
13Ostrovia Ostrow30851736:4829
14Nielba Wagrowiec30651932:6823
15Sparta Brodnica304101626:5522
16Kujawianka30332426:9112