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Unia Swarzedz vs Start Warlubie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 game between Unia Swarzedz and Start Warlubie finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Unia Swarzedz
15%
Draws
26%
Start Warlubie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 16%
Start Warlubie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Start Warlubie
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.94 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Start Warlubie
2:1
Oct 17, 2015 III Liga - Group II
Start Warlubie vs Unia Swarzedz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 84 / 100
Start Warlubie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Start Warlubie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unia Swarzedz scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Start Warlubie let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Unia Swarzedz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7

Start Warlubie

(Away)
04 Jun
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 0
Start Warlubie
28 May
Start Warlubie
0 : 3
Elana Torun
21 May
Lech Poznan II
5 : 0
Start Warlubie
14 May
Start Warlubie
2 : 0
KKS Kalisz
07 May
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 1
Start Warlubie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Warta Poznan 30 18 8 4 57:24 62
2 Pelikan Niechanowo 30 19 5 6 60:28 62
3 Lech Poznan II 30 17 9 4 69:23 60
4 Kleczew 30 15 8 7 63:30 53
5 Jarocin 30 14 9 7 47:27 51
6 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 30 15 6 9 45:28 51
7 Wda Swiecie 30 14 7 9 37:37 49
8 KKS Kalisz 30 13 6 11 41:41 45
9 Elana Torun 30 13 5 12 51:41 44
10 Unia Swarzedz 30 10 8 12 39:55 38
11 Start Warlubie 30 9 8 13 40:45 35
12 Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski 30 9 4 17 39:67 31
13 Ostrovia Ostrow 30 8 5 17 36:48 29
14 Nielba Wagrowiec 30 6 5 19 32:68 23
15 Sparta Brodnica 30 4 10 16 26:55 22
16 Kujawianka 30 3 3 24 26:91 12
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)