Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Swarzedz vs Tluchowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gozdzik G.
31' Event
Masalov O.
49' Event
Piotrowski J.

AI Match Summary

Unia Swarzedz in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Unia Swarzedz
22%
Draws
18%
Tluchowo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Tluchowo.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 13%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Tluchowo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.13 2.29
Goals Conceded 1 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Tluchowo
5:1
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Masalov O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gozdzik G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Tluchowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarzebski E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 57 / 100
Tluchowo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Tluchowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tluchowo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Unia Swarzedz scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Unia Swarzedz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Tluchowo
2.13 Goals Scored 2.29
1 Goals Conceded 2.57
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
25 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
22 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
4 : 2
Pogon Mogilno
17 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 7
Kleczew
15 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 0
Lipno Steszew
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0
Nowe Skalmierzyce
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Tluchowo

(Away)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)