Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Unia Swarzedz vs Tluchowo

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gozdzik G.
31' Event
Masalov O.
49' Event
Piotrowski J.

AI Match Summary

Unia Swarzedz in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unia Swarzedz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Unia Swarzedz
15%
Draws
59%
Tluchowo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tluchowo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unia Swarzedz lately — more wins on the board than Tluchowo.
  • Unia Swarzedz are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%
Tluchowo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Tluchowo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.76 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Tluchowo
5:1
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Tluchowo vs Unia Swarzedz
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Masalov O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gozdzik G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Tluchowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarzebski E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 34 / 100
Tluchowo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Tluchowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tluchowo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Unia Swarzedz scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Unia Swarzedz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Tluchowo
2.63 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
28 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 0
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

Tluchowo

(Away)
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
30 May
Elana Torun
2 : 5
Tluchowo
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zawisza 34 25 5 4 73:23 80
2 Luzino 34 24 4 6 79:39 76
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 20 6 8 67:43 66
4 Lipno Steszew 34 15 6 13 47:54 51
5 Notec Czarnkow 34 14 7 13 49:46 49
6 Lech Poznan II 34 14 7 13 67:54 49
7 Elana Torun 34 14 7 13 49:55 49
8 Swinoujscie 34 14 7 13 48:52 49
9 Wda Swiecie 34 14 6 14 44:66 48
10 Unia Swarzedz 34 13 8 13 47:41 47
11 Kluczevia Stargard 34 13 7 14 54:43 46
12 Blekitni Stargard 34 12 9 13 56:51 45
13 Victoria Wrzesnia 34 13 3 18 41:46 42
14 Pogon Szczecin II 34 12 5 17 75:66 41
15 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
16 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 11 5 18 38:51 38
17 Tluchowo 34 8 7 19 37:66 31
18 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal 34 3 6 25 20:84 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)