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Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Retlewski D.

AI Match Summary

Wda Swiecie in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wda Swiecie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Unia Swarzedz
20%
Draws
40%
Wda Swiecie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Unia Swarzedz have won more games recently than Wda Swiecie.
  • Win probability leans Unia Swarzedz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 11%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unia Swarzedz Wda Swiecie
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Unia Swarzedz
0:3
May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Unia Swarzedz
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Retlewski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unia Swarzedz 83 / 100
Wda Swiecie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unia Swarzedz Wda Swiecie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Swarzedz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Wda Swiecie conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Unia Swarzedz's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Unia Swarzedz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Unia Swarzedz VS Wda Swiecie
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Unia Swarzedz

(Home)
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

Wda Swiecie

(Away)
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
04 Sept
Elana Torun
1 : 2
Wda Swiecie
28 Aug
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)