Sport Picks
Unia Tarnow vs Chelmianka Chelm
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Unia Tarnow host Chelmianka Chelm in the III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025. Chelmianka Chelm go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Unia Tarnow at 0.78 goals for, 3.04 against; Chelmianka Chelm at 1.93 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Unia Tarnow slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2025, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.42 vs 3.56, favoring Chelmianka Chelm. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Chelmianka Chelm lately — more wins on the board than Unia Tarnow.
- 63% — that's where the model lands on Chelmianka Chelm taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Unia Tarnow | Chelmianka Chelm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.78 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.04 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Unia Tarnow Compare
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Unia Tarnow scored in 48% of their last 27 games.
Recent resilience: Unia Tarnow stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Unia Tarnow
(Home)Chelmianka Chelm
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandecja Nowy S. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 65:31 | 74 |
| 2 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 67:43 | 68 |
| 3 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 76:42 | 65 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:40 | 63 |
| 5 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 77:44 | 62 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:50 | 61 |
| 7 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 61:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:42 | 53 |
| 9 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74:62 | 53 |
| 10 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 61:55 | 46 |
| 11 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:64 | 41 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 72:60 | 41 |
| 13 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:60 | 39 |
| 15 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 50:68 | 37 |
| 16 | Wiazownica | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:70 | 30 |
| 17 | Lewart Lubartow | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 31:85 | 19 |
| 18 | Unia Tarnow | 34 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 28:106 | 10 |
