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Uniao ABC vs EC Campo Grande

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao ABC play EC Campo Grande in the Sul-Matogrossense 2. EC Campo Grande are favorites here. Recently, Uniao ABC averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. EC Campo Grande averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao ABC won 1, EC Campo Grande won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Uniao ABC and 1.31 for EC Campo Grande. This points to a EC Campo Grande double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Uniao ABC
25%
Draws
60%
EC Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: EC Campo Grande

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao ABC picked up more points recently compared to EC Campo Grande.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 18%
EC Campo Grande Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao ABC EC Campo Grande
Matches Played 29 2
Wins 6 0
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 1
Goals Scored 0.83 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Uniao ABC vs EC Campo Grande
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao ABC 17 / 100
EC Campo Grande 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao ABC EC Campo Grande

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Campo Grande Win (2)
Secondary Pick EC Campo Grande & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao ABC attacking → ← attacking EC Campo Grande

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao ABC scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

EC Campo Grande let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Uniao ABC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

EC Campo Grande lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 1
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao ABC32015:16
2Misto32015:46
3Aquidauanense32012:26
47 de Setembro31115:44
5Comercial MS21012:23
6Sao Gabriel MS21012:23
7Esporte Clube Taveiropolis31022:33
8EC Campo Grande30121:61