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Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Marcos Henrique
54' Event
Marcos Henrique
74'
Pedro J.

AI Match Summary

Rio Preto EC in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Preto EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Uniao Barbarense
6%
Draws
90%
Rio Preto EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rio Preto EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Barbarense lately — more wins on the board than Rio Preto EC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rio Preto EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 17%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Barbarense Rio Preto EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Uniao Barbarense
0:0
Mar 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto EC
0:3
Jan 31, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Barbarense vs Rio Preto EC
1:1
Jan 24, 2018 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Uniao Barbarense
2:0
Feb 14, 2017 Paulista A2
Rio Preto EC vs Uniao Barbarense
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Barbarense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rio Preto EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Henrique
2 Goals
Assists Leader Correa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Barbarense 10 / 100
Rio Preto EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Barbarense Rio Preto EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Barbarense found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Rio Preto EC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uniao Barbarense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Barbarense VS Rio Preto EC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marilia3
EC Sao Bernardo2
XV de Jau3
Rio Claro0
Portuguesa Santista3
Paulista2
Rio Preto EC3
Uniao Barbarense0
Semi-finals
Marilia3
XV de Jau2
Portuguesa Santista2
Rio Preto EC1
Final
Marilia2
Portuguesa Santista4