Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Uniao Carmolandense play Gurupi in the Tocantinense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Carmolandense averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Gurupi averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Carmolandense won 2, Gurupi won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Uniao Carmolandense and 0.94 for Gurupi. This points to a Uniao Carmolandense double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Uniao Carmolandense picked up more points recently compared to Gurupi.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Carmolandense | Gurupi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Carmolandense Compare
Gurupi Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Carmolandense scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Gurupi let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Uniao Carmolandense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Gurupi lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tocantinopolis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Capital FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Araguaina | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Gurupi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Uniao Carmolandense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 6 | Bela Vista-TO | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 7 | Batalhao | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Tocantins | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:15 | 4 |