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Uniao Central vs Caac Brazil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
de Araujo da Costa L.
25' Event
Evangelista J.
71' Event
Aragao J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Uniao Central
20%
Draws
33%
Caac Brazil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Central come out ahead of Caac Brazil on wins alone.
  • Uniao Central are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Uniao Central have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Central, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uniao Central have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 18%
Caac Brazil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Central Caac Brazil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.81 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Caac Brazil
3:1
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Uniao Central
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Caac Brazil
5:0
May 26, 2024 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Uniao Central
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Evangelista J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aragao J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Caac Brazil Compare

Top Goalscorer de Araujo da Costa L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Central 36 / 100
Caac Brazil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Central Caac Brazil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caac Brazil has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Uniao Central scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Uniao Central has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Central VS Caac Brazil
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Central

(Home)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 7

Caac Brazil

(Away)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Mageense -
EC Vera Cruz -
Itaborai Profute -
Barcelona EC -
Uniao Central 5
Caac Brazil 3
Ceres -
Independente RJ -