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Uniao Central vs Caac Brazil

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Ferreira W.
55' Event
Ferreira W.
61' Event
Ferreira W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Uniao Central in this Carioca C 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Central.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Uniao Central
20%
Draws
33%
Caac Brazil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Central have won more games recently than Caac Brazil.
  • Model gives Uniao Central a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uniao Central here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Uniao Central Clean Sheet 18%
Caac Brazil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Central Caac Brazil
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 2
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.81 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Caac Brazil
3:1
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Uniao Central
2:2
Jun 22, 2025 Carioca C
Uniao Central vs Caac Brazil
5:0
May 26, 2024 Carioca C
Caac Brazil vs Uniao Central
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eric
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Caac Brazil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Central 36 / 100
Caac Brazil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Central Caac Brazil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caac Brazil conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Central scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Uniao Central has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Central VS Caac Brazil
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Central

(Home)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
07 Jun
Uniao Central
3 : 2
EC Vera Cruz
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Caac Brazil

(Away)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)