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Uniao Da Serra vs Alverca B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Duarte D.
74' Event
Nabais I.
89' Event
Catraio R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Uniao Da Serra and Alverca B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Uniao Da Serra
20%
Draws
33%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao Da Serra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 13%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Da Serra Alverca B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.79
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Alverca B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nabais I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Catraio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 35 / 100
Alverca B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Da Serra Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uniao Da Serra scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Alverca B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Uniao Da Serra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS Alverca B
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Da Serra

(Home)
01 Nov
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
25 Oct
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Malveira
18 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
11 Oct
O Elvas CAD
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

Alverca B

(Away)
01 Nov
Mortagua FC
0 : 0
Alverca B
25 Oct
Alverca B
3 : 0
Nogueirense
11 Oct
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 1
Alverca B
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)