Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Da Serra vs Alverca B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Duarte D.
74' Event
Nabais I.
89' Event
Catraio R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Uniao Da Serra and Alverca B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Da Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Uniao Da Serra
20%
Draws
28%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Da Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Alverca B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Uniao Da Serra taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 68%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Da Serra Alverca B
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Alverca B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nabais I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Catraio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 68 / 100
Alverca B 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Da Serra Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Da Serra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Uniao Da Serra stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Uniao Da Serra found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS Alverca B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Da Serra

(Home)
13 Sept
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Mortagua FC
06 Sept
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
30 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
5 : 0
Uniao de Pombal
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
16 Aug
Naval 1893
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
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Alverca B

(Away)
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mortagua FC 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Oliveira Hospital 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
3 Os Marialvas 4 3 0 1 8:2 9
4 Uniao Da Serra 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 O Elvas CAD 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
6 Naval 1893 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
7 Nogueirense 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
8 SB Castelo Branco 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
9 Fatima 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 Malveira 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
11 Sertanense 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
12 Fazendense 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
13 Alverca B 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
14 GD Os Nazarenos 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)