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Uniao Da Serra vs Fatima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Da Serra host Fatima in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Uniao Da Serra have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Fatima's 1.42 scored and 1.12 conceded. Head-to-head, Uniao Da Serra have won 1 to Fatima's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.50, favoring Uniao Da Serra. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uniao Da Serra
20%
Draws
40%
Fatima
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Da Serra come out ahead of Fatima on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Fatima taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 16%
Fatima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Da Serra Fatima
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Fatima
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fatima vs Uniao Da Serra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 28 / 100
Fatima 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Da Serra Fatima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fatima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Da Serra found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Fatima let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Uniao Da Serra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS Fatima
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Da Serra

(Home)
01 Nov
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
25 Oct
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Malveira
18 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
11 Oct
O Elvas CAD
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

Fatima

(Away)
01 Nov
Fatima
6 : 1
Fazendense
25 Oct
Sertanense
2 : 2
Fatima
18 Oct
Fatima
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
11 Oct
Fatima
1 : 3
GD Os Nazarenos
20 Sept
Fatima
4 : 1
Vinhais
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)