Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Da Serra vs Malveira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Campo da Portela, Santa Catarina da Serra
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Justino G. T. F.
Own Goal
55' Event
Costa W.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Uniao Da Serra and Malveira finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Uniao Da Serra
35%
Draws
31%
Malveira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Da Serra come out ahead of Malveira on wins alone.
  • Model gives Uniao Da Serra a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 19%
Malveira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Da Serra Malveira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Malveira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Da Serra Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Malveira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 36 / 100
Malveira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Da Serra Malveira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Da Serra scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Malveira let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Uniao Da Serra has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS Malveira
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Da Serra

(Home)
01 Nov
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
25 Oct
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Malveira
18 Oct
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
11 Oct
O Elvas CAD
1 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

Malveira

(Away)
01 Nov
Malveira
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
25 Oct
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 1
Malveira
11 Oct
Malveira
3 : 1
Fazendense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
06 Sept
Malveira
3 : 0
GD Os Nazarenos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Os Marialvas 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
2 O Elvas CAD 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
3 Mortagua FC 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Oliveira Hospital 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
5 Uniao Da Serra 7 3 3 1 10:8 12
6 SB Castelo Branco 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
7 Malveira 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
8 Fatima 7 2 2 3 15:11 8
9 Nogueirense 7 1 5 1 11:13 8
10 Naval 1893 7 2 1 4 7:9 7
11 Alverca B 7 2 1 4 10:7 7
12 Sertanense 7 0 5 2 5:9 5
13 GD Os Nazarenos 7 1 2 4 5:12 5
14 Fazendense 7 0 1 6 8:23 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)