Sport Picks

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Uniao Da Serra vs Vitoria Sernache

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Uniao Da Serra
44%
Draws
20%
Vitoria Sernache
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria Sernache have won more games recently than Uniao Da Serra.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Uniao Da Serra Clean Sheet 22%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Da Serra Vitoria Sernache
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao Da Serra vs Vitoria Sernache
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Uniao Da Serra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Da Serra 37 / 100
Vitoria Sernache 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Da Serra Vitoria Sernache

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Da Serra's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Uniao Da Serra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Sernache conceded in 41% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Da Serra VS Vitoria Sernache
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Da Serra

(Home)
18 Apr
Samora Correia
4 : 2
Uniao Da Serra
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 0
Uniao Da Serra
29 Mar
Os Marialvas
1 : 1
Uniao Da Serra
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
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Vitoria Sernache

(Away)
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1
Louletano
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Oliveira Hospital
10 May
Louletano
1 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)