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Uniao de Coimbra vs GD Peniche

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bernardo Ferrari
29' Event
Diop A.
41' Event
Diop A.

AI Match Summary

GD Peniche in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Peniche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Uniao de Coimbra
17%
Draws
13%
GD Peniche
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Uniao de Coimbra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Peniche lately — more wins on the board than Uniao de Coimbra.
  • Uniao de Coimbra are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and GD Peniche have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Uniao de Coimbra Clean Sheet 68%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao de Coimbra GD Peniche
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Uniao de Coimbra
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs GD Peniche
0:4
Mar 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Uniao de Coimbra vs GD Peniche
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Uniao de Coimbra
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao de Coimbra Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

GD Peniche Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bernardo Ferrari
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao de Coimbra 77 / 100
GD Peniche 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao de Coimbra GD Peniche

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao de Coimbra scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

GD Peniche has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Uniao de Coimbra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS GD Peniche
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912