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Uniao Lamas vs Florgrade

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Queda G.
90'
Lima L.
90' Event
Braga R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Uniao Lamas
30%
Draws
47%
Florgrade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Florgrade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Florgrade have won more games recently than Uniao Lamas.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Florgrade have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Uniao Lamas Clean Sheet 22%
Florgrade Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Lamas Florgrade
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs Florgrade
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs Florgrade
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Florgrade vs Uniao Lamas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Lamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Florgrade Compare

Top Goalscorer Queda G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Lamas 32 / 100
Florgrade 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Lamas Florgrade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Florgrade Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uniao Lamas scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Florgrade's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Uniao Lamas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Lamas VS Florgrade
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Lamas

(Home)
13 Sept
Sousense
3 : 3
Uniao Lamas
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
UD Ovarense
1 : 0
Uniao Lamas
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
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Florgrade

(Away)
13 Sept
Florgrade
2 : 0
Sanjoanense
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
23 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Guarda FC
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
7 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Cinfaes 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Estrela Calheta 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)