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Uniao Lamas vs Regua

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Paixao D.
78' Event
da Silva Santos J. F.
90' Event
Manu Alves

AI Match Summary

Uniao Lamas in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Lamas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Uniao Lamas
30%
Draws
12%
Regua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Lamas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Lamas lately — more wins on the board than Regua.
  • Model gives Uniao Lamas a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Uniao Lamas Clean Sheet 68%
Regua Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Lamas Regua
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.27 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs Regua
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Regua vs Uniao Lamas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Lamas Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Santos J. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manu Alves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Regua Compare

Top Goalscorer Paixao D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Lamas 86 / 100
Regua 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Lamas Regua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Lamas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Regua has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Uniao Lamas scored in 68% of their last 37 outings.

Solid form: Uniao Lamas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Lamas VS Regua
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Lamas

(Home)
13 Sept
Sousense
3 : 3
Uniao Lamas
06 Sept
Uniao Lamas
1 : 0
Guarda FC
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
UD Ovarense
1 : 0
Uniao Lamas
16 Aug
Uniao Lamas
1 : 1
Florgrade
Page 1 of 8

Regua

(Away)
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
13 Apr
Guarda FC
1 : 1
Regua
06 Apr
Regua
0 : 3
SC Salgueiros
30 Mar
Uniao Lamas
2 : 1
Regua
16 Mar
Regua
0 : 1
Gondomar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leca 26 19 5 2 52:17 62
2 AD Marco 09 26 16 5 5 35:16 53
3 SC Salgueiros 26 16 5 5 39:18 53
4 Cinfaes 26 11 8 7 33:25 41
5 Beira Mar 26 10 9 7 31:28 39
6 Uniao Lamas 26 11 5 10 31:27 38
7 FC Alpendorada 26 10 6 10 26:24 36
8 Machico 26 9 8 9 28:27 35
9 Camacha 26 8 11 7 30:35 35
10 Guarda FC 26 9 5 12 26:30 32
11 Gondomar 26 8 7 11 16:28 31
12 Coimbroes 26 5 6 15 24:43 21
13 Maritimo B 26 4 5 17 25:49 17
14 Regua 26 1 5 20 16:45 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)