Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008

Caldense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao Luziense play Caldense in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Luziense averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Caldense averaged 0.66 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Luziense won 1, Caldense won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2008 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.65 for Uniao Luziense and 0.90 for Caldense. This points to a Caldense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Uniao Luziense

35%

Draws

33%

Caldense

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caldense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Uniao Luziense picked up more points recently compared to Caldense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.65 vs 0.90 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Uniao Luziense Clean Sheet 25%

Caldense Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao Luziense	Caldense
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	5	5
Draws	11	13
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.77	0.66
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.17	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2008 Mineiro 2

Caldense vs Uniao Luziense

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Mar 13, 2008 Mineiro 2

Uniao Luziense vs Caldense

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Luziense 34 / 100

Caldense 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao Luziense Caldense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Caldense or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Luziense attacking → ← attacking Caldense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Luziense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Caldense let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Uniao Luziense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Caldense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 28

0.67 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.17 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America Mineiro	20	12	5	3	33:14	41
2	Uberlandia	20	10	6	4	25:12	36
3	Caldense	20	11	2	7	29:20	35
4	EC Itauna	20	8	7	5	21:15	31
5	Araxa	20	6	9	5	21:21	27
6	Pocos de Caldas	20	4	11	5	22:24	23
7	URT	20	4	11	5	28:29	23
8	Ideal FC	20	6	4	10	21:29	22
9	Formiga EC	20	6	4	10	17:26	22
10	Valeriodoce	20	4	8	8	18:21	20
11	Uniao Luziense	20	4	3	13	21:45	15