Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Mogi vs ECUS SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Uniao Mogi and ECUS SP finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ECUS SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Uniao Mogi
20%
Draws
52%
ECUS SP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ECUS SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Uniao Mogi haven't matched ECUS SP's recent run of results.
  • ECUS SP are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ECUS SP have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 19%
ECUS SP Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Mogi ECUS SP
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.23 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.77 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Paulista B
ECUS SP vs Uniao Mogi
1:0
May 3, 2025 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs ECUS SP
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Paulista B
ECUS SP vs Uniao Mogi
2:0
May 4, 2024 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs ECUS SP
0:1
Sep 26, 2021 Paulista A4
Uniao Mogi vs ECUS SP
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Mogi 28 / 100
ECUS SP 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Mogi ECUS SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECUS SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Mogi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

ECUS SP let in goals in 46% of their last 37 matches.

Uniao Mogi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Mogi VS ECUS SP
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.17
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Mogi

(Home)
18 Jul
Itaqua
1 : 0
Uniao Mogi
11 Jul
Uniao Mogi
1 : 4
Itaqua
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3
Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3
Maua FC
20 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 1
Itaqua
Page 1 of 6

ECUS SP

(Away)
04 Apr
Jacarei FC
0 : 0
ECUS SP
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
AEA Aracatuba
18 Mar
Colorado Caieiras
0 : 2
ECUS SP
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams