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Uniao Mogi vs Uniao Suzano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Uniao Mogi and Uniao Suzano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Suzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Uniao Mogi
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Suzano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Mogi come out ahead of Uniao Suzano on wins alone.
  • Uniao Mogi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Mogi Uniao Suzano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2021 Paulista A4
Uniao Mogi vs Uniao Suzano
0:1
Aug 21, 2021 Paulista A4
Uniao Suzano vs Uniao Mogi
2:1
Nov 4, 2020 Paulista A4
Uniao Mogi vs Uniao Suzano
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Paulista A4
Uniao Suzano vs Uniao Mogi
0:0
Jul 7, 2013 Paulista A4
Uniao Suzano vs Uniao Mogi
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Mogi 85 / 100
Uniao Suzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Mogi Uniao Suzano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uniao Suzano conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Uniao Suzano has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Uniao Mogi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Mogi VS Uniao Suzano
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Matonense1072113:523
2Taquaritinga1052315:817
3Catanduva FC1043312:1115
4Inter de Bebedouro1043315:915
5Fernandopolis1014513:207
6America SP101278:235
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1XV de Jau1072112:723
2Gremio Prudente1052315:1017
3Vocem1044210:716
4Assisense104159:1113
5Santacruzense102357:89
6Osvaldo Cruz101277:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco SP1072118:823
2Independente SP1053212:918
3Sao-Carlense1045112:617
4Sao Carlos103259:1311
5Itapirense101365:126
6Mogi Mirim101363:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1082018:526
2Paulista1053218:718
3Colorado Caieiras1033412:1312
4Mauaense1032514:2211
5Guarulhos1023514:219
6Barcelona SP1013613:216
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Suzano1082024:326
2Maua FC1063123:921
3Uniao Mogi1041515:1013
4ECUS SP1041512:2213
5Manthiqueira1033413:1212
6Atletico Mogi1000106:370