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Uniao Paraense vs ESMAC

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense A2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Uniao Paraense
35%
Draws
32%
ESMAC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • ESMAC have won more games recently than Uniao Paraense.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paraense A2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 68%
ESMAC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Paraense ESMAC
Matches Played 16 13
Wins 1 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 0.75 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2025 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs ESMAC
1:1
Jun 11, 2025 Paraense A2
ESMAC vs Uniao Paraense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Paraense 41 / 100
ESMAC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Paraense ESMAC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Paraense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESMAC has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

ESMAC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Uniao Paraense's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Paraense VS ESMAC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Paraense

(Home)
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
23 May
Uniao Paraense
2 : 2
Izabelense
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
03 May
Izabelense
2 : 1
Uniao Paraense
12 Jul
Urumajo
1 : 0
Uniao Paraense
Page 1 of 4

ESMAC

(Away)
16 Sept
Venus
5 : 2
ESMAC
13 Sept
Pedreira
3 : 1
ESMAC
05 Sept
ESMAC
1 : 1
Venus
23 Jun
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
ESMAC
19 Jun
ESMAC
1 : 2
Amazonia IFC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonia IFC 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Uniao Paraense 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 ESMAC 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Paragominas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Pinheirense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
2 Marajo 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
3 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
2 Itupiranga 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
3 Carajas 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A2 2025 (Play Offs)