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Uniao Rondonopolis vs Chapada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes, Rondonópolis
Uniao Rondonopolis Logo

Uniao Rondonopolis

1 - 0
FT
Chapada Logo

Chapada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uniao Rondonopolis
20%
Draws
40%
Chapada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chapada lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Rondonopolis.
  • Model gives Chapada a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Chapada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Rondonopolis, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 12%
Chapada Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Rondonopolis Chapada
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Chapada
1:0
Feb 4, 2026 Matogrossense
Chapada vs Uniao Rondonopolis
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Rondonopolis 14 / 100
Chapada 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Rondonopolis Chapada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chapada conceded in 64% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Uniao Rondonopolis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Uniao Rondonopolis scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Rondonopolis VS Chapada
1.13 Goals Scored 1.57
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Home)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

Chapada

(Away)
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
30 Sept
Chapada
2 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
27 Sept
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 5
Chapada
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 5 2 0 3 9:13 6
5 Uirapuru 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)