Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Tortello
48'
48'
Santana Bispo T.
82'
82'
Rafael Tanque
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Sao Joao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Uniao Sao Joao lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP B.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Uniao Sao Joao have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo SP B Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Sao Joao | Botafogo SP B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2025 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Botafogo SP B
2:2
Jun 25, 2025 Copa Paulista
Botafogo SP B vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Sao Joao Compare
Top Goalscorer Santana Bispo T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rafael Tanque
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Botafogo SP B Compare
Top Goalscorer Tortello
1 Goals Assists Leader Gabriel Amaral
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Sao Joao 31 / 100
Botafogo SP B 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Sao Joao Botafogo SP B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Uniao Sao Joao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Sao Joao scored in 74% of their last 35 games.
Botafogo SP B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Uniao Sao Joao stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Sao Joao VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Sao Joao
(Home) 03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1 Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1 Gremio Prudente
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Comercial
Page 1 of 4
Botafogo SP B
(Away) 16 Aug
Botafogo SP B
0 : 1 Francana
09 Aug
Itapirense
0 : 3 Botafogo SP B
06 Aug
Botafogo SP B
0 : 2 Comercial
30 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2 Botafogo SP B
23 Jul
Botafogo SP B
1 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Itapirense
0 : 3 Botafogo SP B
30 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2 Botafogo SP B
16 Jul
Francana
0 : 0 Botafogo SP B
02 Jul
Comercial
1 : 0 Botafogo SP B
18 Jun
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 0 Botafogo SP B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Monte Azul | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AEA Aracatuba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 5 | Linense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 2 | Comercial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Internacional de Limeira | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Botafogo SP B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 6 | Itapirense | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piracicaba | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Bento | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 5 | Guarani B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Portuguesa Santista | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Caetano | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Taubate | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 6 | Santo Andre | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)
