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Uniao Sao Joao vs Francana

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ruan Marcos
56' Event
Ruan Marcos
82' Event
Vitor G.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Uniao Sao Joao and Francana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Sao Joao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Uniao Sao Joao
39%
Draws
31%
Francana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Uniao Sao Joao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%
Francana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Sao Joao Francana
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Francana
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Copa Paulista
Francana vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Francana
3:1
Feb 26, 2025 Paulista A3
Francana vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:1
Feb 17, 2013 Paulista A3
Francana vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan Marcos
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Francana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Sao Joao 41 / 100
Francana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Sao Joao Francana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Uniao Sao Joao's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Francana let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: Uniao Sao Joao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Sao Joao VS Francana
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285