Sport Picks
Uniao Sao Joao vs Portuguesa Santista
Brazil
Paulista A3 
Match Events
57'
57'
Bruninho
AI Match Summary
Uniao Sao Joao in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Sao Joao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portuguesa Santista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Uniao Sao Joao haven't matched Portuguesa Santista's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Uniao Sao Joao here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Sao Joao | Portuguesa Santista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 13 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Portuguesa Santista
1:0
Mar 28, 2009 Paulista A2
Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Mar 30, 2008 Paulista A2
Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:0
Mar 10, 2007 Paulista A2
Uniao Sao Joao vs Portuguesa Santista
4:2
Apr 3, 2005 Paulista
Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Sao Joao Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Portuguesa Santista Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Sao Joao 42 / 100
Portuguesa Santista 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Sao Joao Portuguesa Santista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Sao Joao scored in 72% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Uniao Sao Joao went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Portuguesa Santista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Sao Joao VS Portuguesa Santista
1.13 Goals Scored 1.71
1 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Sao Joao
(Home) 26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Juventus-SP
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0 Bandeirante
19 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Noroeste
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1 Comercial
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0 Piracicaba
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Portuguesa Santista
(Away) 26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1 Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Paulista
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22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
15 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
0 : 3 Portuguesa Santista
04 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)
