Sport Picks
Uniao Sao Joao vs Portuguesa Santista
Brazil
Paulista A3 
Match Events
57'
57'
Bruninho
AI Match Summary
Uniao Sao Joao in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Sao Joao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portuguesa Santista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Uniao Sao Joao haven't matched Portuguesa Santista's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Portuguesa Santista's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Uniao Sao Joao here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 17%
Portuguesa Santista Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uniao Sao Joao | Portuguesa Santista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Portuguesa Santista
1:0
Mar 28, 2009 Paulista A2
Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Mar 30, 2008 Paulista A2
Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:0
Mar 10, 2007 Paulista A2
Uniao Sao Joao vs Portuguesa Santista
4:2
Apr 3, 2005 Paulista
Portuguesa Santista vs Uniao Sao Joao
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uniao Sao Joao Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruninho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Portuguesa Santista Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Uniao Sao Joao 10 / 100
Portuguesa Santista 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Uniao Sao Joao Portuguesa Santista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uniao Sao Joao scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Uniao Sao Joao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Portuguesa Santista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Uniao Sao Joao VS Portuguesa Santista
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Uniao Sao Joao
(Home) 25 Jul
Noroeste
2 : 2 Uniao Sao Joao
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0 Piracicaba
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
21 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2 EC Sao Bernardo
14 Mar
Paulista
3 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 0 Piracicaba
21 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 2 EC Sao Bernardo
11 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1 Francana
04 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Portuguesa Santista
21 Feb
Uniao Sao Joao
0 : 1 Marilia
Page 1 of 3
Portuguesa Santista
(Away) 26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 1 Rio Preto EC
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
05 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Paulista
Page 1 of 6
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
11 Apr
Rio Preto EC
0 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
28 Mar
Paulista
2 : 1 Portuguesa Santista
15 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
0 : 3 Portuguesa Santista
04 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0 Portuguesa Santista
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 36 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23:6 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Rio Claro | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Uniao Barbarense | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Paulista | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 23 |
| 9 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 11 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Itapirense | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Desportivo | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10:28 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)
