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Uniao Suzano vs EC Sao Bernardo

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Reinaldo Valverde
15' Event
Jarles Baiano
35' Event
Caiuby F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Uniao Suzano in this Paulista A3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uniao Suzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Uniao Suzano
17%
Draws
70%
EC Sao Bernardo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: EC Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EC Sao Bernardo lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Suzano.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on EC Sao Bernardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 11%
EC Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Suzano EC Sao Bernardo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Uniao Suzano
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Paulista A3
Uniao Suzano vs EC Sao Bernardo
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Copa Paulista
EC Sao Bernardo vs Uniao Suzano
2:0
Jun 23, 2024 Copa Paulista
Uniao Suzano vs EC Sao Bernardo
1:1
Feb 21, 2024 Paulista A3
EC Sao Bernardo vs Uniao Suzano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Suzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinaldo Valverde
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarles Baiano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

EC Sao Bernardo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Suzano 14 / 100
EC Sao Bernardo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Suzano EC Sao Bernardo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Suzano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

EC Sao Bernardo has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

EC Sao Bernardo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Suzano VS EC Sao Bernardo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Monte Azul1586127:1430
2Marilia1584324:1728
3Desportivo1574419:1625
4Sertaozinho1567214:825
5Catanduva FC1573517:1724
6Rio Branco SP1565425:1523
7Uniao Sao Joao1564518:1322
8Itapirense1562714:1320
9Rio Preto EC1555512:1420
10Uniao Suzano1552815:2217
11XV de Jau154569:1217
12Francana1538417:1917
13EC Sao Bernardo1537511:1516
14Bandeirante1543812:2015
15Lemense1534812:2113
16Comercial152588:1811