Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Suzano vs XV de Jau

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Osorio J.
18' Event
Osorio J.
56' Event
Natan Ferreira

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Uniao Suzano and XV de Jau finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward XV de Jau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Uniao Suzano
15%
Draws
85%
XV de Jau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: XV de Jau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and XV de Jau come out ahead of Uniao Suzano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans XV de Jau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Uniao Suzano Clean Sheet 16%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Suzano XV de Jau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Uniao Suzano vs XV de Jau
1:3
Mar 12, 2025 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Uniao Suzano
2:1
Aug 18, 2013 Paulista A4
Uniao Suzano vs XV de Jau
3:3
Jul 28, 2013 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Uniao Suzano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Suzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Natan Ferreira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

XV de Jau Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ardley
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Suzano 10 / 100
XV de Jau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Suzano XV de Jau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XV de Jau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Uniao Suzano scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

XV de Jau let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: XV de Jau has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Suzano VS XV de Jau
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Suzano

(Home)
21 Mar
Rio Claro
3 : 1
Uniao Suzano
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Marilia
2 : 0
Uniao Suzano
07 Mar
Uniao Suzano
0 : 2
Paulista
04 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
3 : 0
Uniao Suzano
Page 1 of 6

XV de Jau

(Away)
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2
XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0
Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0
Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1
XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
XV de Jau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)