Sport Picks

Brazil

Amazonense 2 2023

Librade

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Unidos do Alvorada play Librade in the Amazonense 2 2023. Unidos do Alvorada are favorites here. Recently, Unidos do Alvorada averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Librade averaged 1.36 goals scored and 3.91 conceded. In past meetings, Unidos do Alvorada won 2, Librade won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 2, 2023 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Unidos do Alvorada and 1.31 for Librade. This points to a Unidos do Alvorada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Unidos do Alvorada

15%

Draws

23%

Librade

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Unidos do Alvorada picked up more points recently compared to Librade.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 18%

Librade Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Unidos do Alvorada	Librade
Matches Played	30	11
Wins	15	3
Draws	3	0
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.7	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.23	3.91
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2023 Amazonense 2

Unidos do Alvorada vs Librade

Possession: 50% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Aug 19, 2022 Amazonense 2

Unidos do Alvorada vs Librade

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unidos do Alvorada 59 / 100

Librade 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Unidos do Alvorada Librade

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unidos do Alvorada Win (1)

Secondary Pick Unidos do Alvorada & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unidos do Alvorada attacking → ← attacking Librade

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unidos do Alvorada scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Librade let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Unidos do Alvorada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Librade lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 9

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Raimundo AM	3	3	0	9:4	9
2	Unidos do Alvorada	3	2	1	5:3	6
3	Librade	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Sul America	3	0	3	3:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cliper	2	1	1	0	3:0	4
2	RB do Norte	2	1	1	0	1:0	4
3	Itacoatiara	2	0	0	2	0:4	0