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Unidos do Alvorada vs Taruma

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unidos do Alvorada play Taruma in the Amazonense 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Unidos do Alvorada averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Taruma averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Unidos do Alvorada won 0, Taruma won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 1, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Unidos do Alvorada and 1.88 for Taruma. This points to a Unidos do Alvorada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Unidos do Alvorada
15%
Draws
33%
Taruma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Unidos do Alvorada picked up more points recently compared to Taruma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%
Taruma Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unidos do Alvorada Taruma
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.7 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Amazonense 2
Taruma vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:0
Aug 14, 2022 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs Taruma
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unidos do Alvorada 49 / 100
Taruma 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unidos do Alvorada Taruma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Unidos do Alvorada or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unidos do Alvorada attacking → ← attacking Taruma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unidos do Alvorada scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Taruma let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Unidos do Alvorada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Taruma lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 28
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)880031:224
2Unidos do Alvorada861130:719
3Parintins851237:916
4RB do Norte840421:2712
5Manicore830520:339
6Sul America830515:299
7Atletico Amazonense821518:197
8Librade820611:386
9Taruma81168:274