Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Adarve vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Kostynyan A.
23' Event
Gomez de Figueroa A.
65' Event
Ogando J.

AI Match Summary

Union Adarve in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Union Adarve
30%
Draws
39%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Union Adarve have won more games recently than Galapagar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 16%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Galapagar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Galapagar
3:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Union Adarve
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostynyan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ogando J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez de Figueroa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 36 / 100
Galapagar 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Galapagar conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Union Adarve has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS Galapagar
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Aug
Union Adarve
2 : 2
Getafe B
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 7

Galapagar

(Away)
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)