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Union Adarve vs Puerta Bonita

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 game between Union Adarve and Puerta Bonita finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Union Adarve
6%
Draws
4%
Puerta Bonita
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Adarve carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Adarve a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 20%
Puerta Bonita Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Puerta Bonita
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Puerta Bonita vs Union Adarve
0:5
Dec 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Puerta Bonita
0:0
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Puerta Bonita
1:1
Aug 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Puerta Bonita vs Union Adarve
1:2
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Puerta Bonita vs Union Adarve
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 85 / 100
Puerta Bonita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Puerta Bonita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Puerta Bonita let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Union Adarve remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
CD Las Rozas
0 : 2
Union Adarve
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
11 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 7

Puerta Bonita

(Away)
15 May
Puerta Bonita
1 : 1
Mexico
08 May
Rayo Vallecano B
0 : 1
Puerta Bonita
01 May
Puerta Bonita
2 : 0
Collado Villalba
24 Apr
San Sebastian Reyes
2 : 1
Puerta Bonita
17 Apr
Puerta Bonita
0 : 5
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda38218967:3871
2Navalcarnero3818101043:3764
3Mexico381713859:3964
4Union Adarve381712940:3163
5Alcorcon B381712957:4163
6San Sebastian Reyes381881247:3262
7DUX Internacional de Madrid3816121048:4260
8RSD Alcala381317841:2956
9Real Madrid C381671550:4055
10Pozuelo de Alarcon381661646:4554
11Parla3814111347:3953
12Atletico Pinto381571644:4252
13Atl. Madrid C381471753:6649
14Puerta Bonita3812111542:4447
15CD Mostoles3811131444:4646
16San Fernando de Henares389171235:4244
17Siello3810131537:5143
18Alcobendas387151635:4936
19AD Colmenar381052335:6535
20AD Torrejon38623022:7420
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)