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Union Adarve vs Siello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Adarve host Siello in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Siello have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Union Adarve have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.43. Head-to-head, Union Adarve have won 3 to Siello's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.38, favoring Union Adarve. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Union Adarve
30%
Draws
23%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Adarve come out ahead of Siello on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Union Adarve's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 17%
Siello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Siello
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Union Adarve
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
3:1
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Union Adarve
0:1
May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Siello
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 75 / 100
Siello 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Adarve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Siello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Union Adarve has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS Siello
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

Siello

(Away)
04 Oct
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 0
Siello
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)