Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Adarve vs Villaverde San Andres

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sanchez I.
35' Event
Ogando J.
40' Event
Sanchez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Union Adarve and Villaverde San Andres finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Union Adarve
6%
Draws
4%
Villaverde San Andres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Adarve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Adarve come out ahead of Villaverde San Andres on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Union Adarve's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 68%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Adarve Villaverde San Andres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Villaverde San Andres
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Union Adarve
0:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Union Adarve
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Villaverde San Andres
3:2
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs Villaverde San Andres
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ogando J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Villaverde San Andres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Adarve 95 / 100
Villaverde San Andres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Adarve Villaverde San Andres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Adarve scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Union Adarve went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Villaverde San Andres has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Adarve VS Villaverde San Andres
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Adarve

(Home)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
CD Las Rozas
0 : 2
Union Adarve
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
11 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 0
Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6

Villaverde San Andres

(Away)
10 May
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 4
San Sebastian Reyes B
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
26 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 5
CD Las Rozas
19 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
12 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)