Sport Picks
Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin 
AI Match Summary
Union Berlin host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Union Berlin at 1.69 goals for, 2.07 against; RB Leipzig at 2.14 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Union Berlin have won 1 to RB Leipzig's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 2.31, favoring RB Leipzig. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Union Berlin haven't matched RB Leipzig's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on RB Leipzig taking it.
- Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Berlin | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Berlin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
RB Leipzig has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Union Berlin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Union Berlin
(Home)RB Leipzig
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Paderborn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | 4 |
