Sport Picks
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin 
Match Events
16'
16'
Stark N.
18'
18'
Kohn D.
(Penalty)
19'
19'
Schafer A.
AI Match Summary
Werder Bremen in this Bundesliga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Werder Bremen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Werder Bremen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Union Berlin at 1.66 per game, Werder Bremen at 1.32.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Werder Bremen taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Union Berlin Clean Sheet 13%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Union Berlin | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen
1:4
Oct 24, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin
1:0
May 3, 2025 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen
2:2
Dec 21, 2024 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin
4:1
Mar 16, 2024 Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Union Berlin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Werder Bremen Compare
Top Goalscorer Deman O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stage J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Union Berlin 19 / 100
Werder Bremen 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Union Berlin Werder Bremen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Berlin found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Werder Bremen let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Union Berlin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Union Berlin VS Werder Bremen
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Union Berlin
(Home) 09 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 2 Aris Limassol
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2 Cagliari
01 Aug
Dresden
2 : 1 Union Berlin
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1 Union Berlin
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1 Union Berlin
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Union Berlin
3 : 2 Aris Limassol
02 Aug
Union Berlin
2 : 2 Cagliari
16 May
Union Berlin
4 : 0 Augsburg
02 May
Union Berlin
2 : 2 1. FC Koln
18 Apr
Union Berlin
1 : 2 Wolfsburg
Page 1 of 3
Werder Bremen
(Away) 08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2 Paderborn
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Bochum
22 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0 Okayama
18 Jul
Verden
2 : 6 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Energie Cottbus
2 : 4 Werder Bremen
18 Jul
Verden
2 : 6 Werder Bremen
09 May
Hoffenheim
1 : 0 Werder Bremen
26 Apr
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 Werder Bremen
12 Apr
1. FC Koln
3 : 1 Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
