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Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Burrai S.
30'
Sub
Lattanzio A. In: Migliardi F.
Out: Lattanzio A.
37' Event
Marras M.

AI Match Summary

Union Brescia in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Brescia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Union Brescia
35%
Draws
26%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dolomiti Bellunesi haven't matched Union Brescia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Union Brescia a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Union Brescia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 20%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Brescia Dolomiti Bellunesi
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.35 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Union Brescia
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Union Brescia vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Marras M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mercati A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Brescia 67 / 100
Dolomiti Bellunesi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Brescia Dolomiti Bellunesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Brescia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Union Brescia scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Dolomiti Bellunesi conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Union Brescia VS Dolomiti Bellunesi
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Brescia

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
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Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)