Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Brescia vs Giana Erminio

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia
Union Brescia Logo

Union Brescia

5 - 2
FT
Giana Erminio Logo

Giana Erminio

Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Pellegrini J.
30' Event
Marras M.
44' Event
Di Molfetta D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Union Brescia
35%
Draws
16%
Giana Erminio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Giana Erminio haven't matched Union Brescia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Union Brescia a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Union Brescia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Union Brescia, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Union Brescia have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Giana Erminio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Brescia Giana Erminio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Union Brescia vs Giana Erminio
5:2
Feb 2, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Giana Erminio
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrini J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marras M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Giana Erminio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballabio M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Brescia 95 / 100
Giana Erminio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Brescia Giana Erminio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Union Brescia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Union Brescia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Giana Erminio conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Union Brescia VS Giana Erminio
2 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Brescia

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6

Giana Erminio

(Away)
26 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 1
Pro Vercelli
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
06 Sept
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -