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Union Club Ceares vs CD Colunga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Avanzini P.
45' Event
Martinez R.
64' Event
Carreno V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Union Club Ceares and CD Colunga finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Colunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Union Club Ceares
15%
Draws
65%
CD Colunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Colunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CD Colunga haven't matched Union Club Ceares's recent run of results.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on Union Club Ceares taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 68%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Club Ceares CD Colunga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs CD Colunga
3:4
Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs CD Colunga
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Union Club Ceares
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs CD Colunga
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Union Club Ceares
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Avanzini P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Tochukwu A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Carreno V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Club Ceares 86 / 100
CD Colunga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Club Ceares CD Colunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Club Ceares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union Club Ceares scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

CD Colunga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Union Club Ceares went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Club Ceares VS CD Colunga
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Club Ceares

(Home)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0
Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4
CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 6

CD Colunga

(Away)
03 Oct
L Entregu CF
0 : 0
CD Colunga
26 Sept
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Covadonga
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4
CD Colunga
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2
CD Colunga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)