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Union Cocle vs Independiente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Virgilio Tejeira Andrion, Penonomé
Union Cocle Logo

Union Cocle

0 - 3
FT
Independiente Logo

Independiente

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Nunez J.
46'
Sub
Altamirano A. In: Perez R.
Out: Altamirano A.
46'
Sub
Giron J. In: Petit D.
Out: Giron J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Union Cocle and Independiente finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Union Cocle
15%
Draws
85%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Independiente carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Independiente are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Union Cocle Clean Sheet 10%
Independiente Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Cocle Independiente
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2026 LPF
Union Cocle vs Independiente
0:3
Aug 22, 2026 LPF
Independiente vs Union Cocle
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 LPF
Union Cocle vs Independiente
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 LPF
Independiente vs Union Cocle
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Cocle Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Petit D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Contreras D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Cocle 10 / 100
Independiente 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Cocle Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Independiente conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Union Cocle's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Union Cocle VS Independiente
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Cocle

(Home)
07 Nov
San Francisco
2 : 1
Union Cocle
31 Oct
Union Cocle
0 : 2
Union Deportivo Universitario
27 Oct
Veraguas
3 : 0
Union Cocle
18 Oct
Union Cocle
2 : 3
Herrera
06 Oct
Sporting San Miguelito
3 : 1
Union Cocle
Page 1 of 6

Independiente

(Away)
07 Nov
Herrera
1 : 5
Independiente
01 Nov
Independiente
3 : 1
San Francisco
24 Oct
Union Deportivo Universitario
0 : 1
Independiente
17 Oct
Independiente
3 : 1
Veraguas
04 Oct
Independiente
1 : 1
Arabe Unido
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 16 11 3 2 40:20 36
2 Arabe Unido 16 7 6 3 20:15 27
3 Tauro 16 7 3 6 26:19 24
4 UMECIT 16 5 7 4 17:17 22
5 Sporting San Miguelito 16 5 5 6 17:18 20
6 Alianza 16 3 6 7 16:25 15
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
2 Veraguas 15 6 6 3 27:23 24
3 Independiente 15 6 5 4 27:20 23
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 15 4 5 6 15:16 17
5 Herrera 15 3 2 10 16:38 11
6 Union Cocle 15 1 2 12 11:31 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)