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Union Comercio vs Pirata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia, Tarapoto
Union Comercio Logo

Union Comercio

2 - 0
FT
Pirata Logo

Pirata

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Goluz Pena B.
43' Event
Pinedo A.
46'
Sub
Suclupe M. In: Morales M.
Out: Suclupe M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union Comercio in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Comercio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Union Comercio
30%
Draws
29%
Pirata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Comercio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Union Comercio have won more games recently than Pirata.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Union Comercio here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 20%
Pirata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Comercio Pirata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
2:0
Aug 17, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs Union Comercio
1:2
May 3, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
1:2
Jul 24, 2022 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs Pirata
4:1
Apr 23, 2022 Liga 2
Pirata vs Union Comercio
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Comercio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinedo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goluz Pena B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pirata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Comercio 31 / 100
Pirata 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Comercio Pirata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Comercio scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Pirata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Union Comercio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Comercio VS Pirata
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Comercio

(Home)
06 Oct
Union Minas
4 : 1
Union Comercio
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0
Union Comercio
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

Pirata

(Away)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams