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Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Rosario Central 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
61' Event

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Union de Santa Fe 2 and Rosario Central 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Union de Santa Fe 2
15%
Draws
37%
Rosario Central 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union de Santa Fe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosario Central 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union de Santa Fe 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Union de Santa Fe 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Rosario Central 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe 2 Rosario Central 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 15 10
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Reserve League
Rosario Central 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Reserve League
Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Rosario Central 2
1:1
Jun 12, 2025 Reserve League
Rosario Central 2 vs Union de Santa Fe 2
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Reserve League
Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Rosario Central 2
4:2
Oct 3, 2022 Reserve League
Union de Santa Fe 2 vs Rosario Central 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 2 95 / 100
Rosario Central 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe 2 Rosario Central 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union de Santa Fe 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Union de Santa Fe 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Rosario Central 2 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Union de Santa Fe 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe 2 VS Rosario Central 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Union de Santa Fe 2
5 : 0
Banfield 2
30 Sept
Rosario Central 2
2 : 0
Union de Santa Fe 2
25 Sept
Colon Santa Fe 2
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
16 Sept
Union de Santa Fe 2
5 : 1
Tigre 2
09 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central 2

(Away)
06 Oct
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 2
Rosario Central 2
30 Sept
Rosario Central 2
2 : 0
Union de Santa Fe 2
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
16 Sept
Atl. Tucuman 2
0 : 1
Rosario Central 2
10 Sept
Rosario Central 2
0 : 3
Godoy Cruz 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)